App St
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 67.1740Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A Charlotte AME ( 1- 7, 50.4) 34-11 906 H Lindenwood 20-13 913 A So Miss SUN ( 5- 3, 68.2) 22-38 927 A Boise State MIDW ( 6- 3, 75.5) 14-47 1004 H Oregon St P12 ( 2- 7, 60.2) 27-23 1011 A Georgia St SUN ( 1- 7, 55.5) 41-20 1018 H Coastal Car SUN ( 5- 3, 69.7) 37-45 1025 A Old Dominion SUN ( 6- 3, 74.9) 21-24 1106 H Georgia So SUN ( 3- 5, 61.4) 1115 A J Madison SUN ( 7- 1, 82.4) 1122 H Marshall SUN ( 4- 4, 71.9) 1129 H Arkansas State SUN ( 5- 4, 66.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A Charlotte 34-11 23 13 +++ 7.15
913 A So Miss 22-38 -16 -5 --- -11.03
927 A Boise State 14-47 -33 -12 --- -7.78
1004 H Oregon St 27-23 4 11 --- -6.91
1011 A Georgia St 41-20 21 8 +++ 12.21
1018 H Coastal Car 37-45 -8 1 --- -9.36
1025 A Old Dominion 21-24 -3 -12 +++ 8.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A So Miss 22-38 -16 -5 --- -11.03 927 A Boise State 14-47 -33 -12 --- -7.78 1004 H Oregon St 27-23 4 11 --- -6.91 1018 H Coastal Car 37-45 -8 1 --- -9.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 A Charlotte 34-11 23 13 +++ 7.15 1011 A Georgia St 41-20 21 8 +++ 12.21 1025 A Old Dominion 21-24 -3 -12 +++ 8.71 |
App St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | App St | App St | ||
| California | App St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App St | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UNC | |
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Va Tech | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | App St | App St | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | App St | App St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | App St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App St | |
| So Florida | So Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | So Florida | |
| Temple | App St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App St | |
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | App St | App St | ||
| UAB | App St | App St | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | App St | App St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | App St | App St | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | App St | App St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| La Tech | La Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | La Tech | |
| Middle Tenn | App St | App St | ||
| NM St | App St | App St | ||
| SHouston St | App St | App St | ||
| UTEP | App St | App St | ||
| We Kentucky | App St | App St | ||
| UMass | App St | App St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | App St | App St | ||
| Ball St | App St | App St | ||
| Bowl. Green | App St | App St | ||
| Buffalo | App St | App St | ||
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Michigan | App St | App St | ||
| Kent State | App St | App St | ||
| MiamiOH | App St | App St | ||
| No Illinois | App St | App St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | App St | App St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | App St | App St | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miss St | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| Arkansas State | App St | App St | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | App St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | App St | |
| Georgia St | App St | App St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Marshall | Marshall | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | So Miss | So Miss | ||
| So Alabama | App St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | App St | |
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | App St | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | App St |
PowerWise = 39
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Charlotte ( 1- 7, 50.4) 34-11 -49.51 4.48 3.93 1.21 20.33
0 A So Miss ( 5- 3, 68.2) 22-38 -31.68 22.31 3.93 1.21 -16.78
0 A Boise State ( 6- 3, 75.5) 14-47 -24.43 29.56 3.93 1.21 -12.39
0 H Oregon St ( 2- 7, 60.2) 27-23 -39.70 14.29 -3.93 1.21 25.04
0 A Georgia St ( 1- 7, 55.5) 41-20 -44.44 9.55 3.93 1.21 32.59
0 H Coastal Car ( 5- 3, 69.7) 37-45 -30.15 23.84 -3.93 1.21 -20.60
0 A Old Dominion ( 6- 3, 74.9) 21-24 -24.95 29.04 3.93 1.21 -12.71
------
15.49
|
winning pts = 77.9615 losing points = -62.4763
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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